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That's because each one of these is hitting a pivot point. I plan to touch on each one of those fairly quickly and try draw out some potential scenarios (ie - this goes up then this other thing will likely go down). The DXY (US dollar index), BTC, ETH, altcoins, 5yr, 30yr, and potential cracks in the financial market beginning to form.
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So with that bit of housecleaning out of the way, let's jump to it! Although, these forecasts are much shorter in scope. View each of these articles in a similar manner. But after that, we were going sideways or prices would sag until the next round of unlockings. It was saying after the December 29th unlocking, there was going to be one last push higher in price. This method of forecasting is what the Grayscale Effect article was about. Or said differently, maybe it's a good time to hedge my portfolio through a few puts. Or a week or two of rain is coming, best to prepare for some cleaning up around the house. Meaning you can hedge your weekend plans at the beach by planning an afternoon at the museum since there's a chance of rain. This gives you a snapshot of the weather for the week. Meaning, how much strength is behind a rally, is something flashing in the market that we need to be aware of, how is the equity markets looking and why does it matter to crypto right now, or why does a social forum group on Reddit matter to crypto? More specifically, when I look at the markets my goal is to form a macro structure of the market for you. Our team likes to be factual and think of ourselves as the journalists of on-chain activity and the markets. And I'm not really in the business of being wrong. Nor do I say, the market will do this or that. Whenever I write Espresso I try not to put price targets. So instead of trying to force a round peg through a square hole, I'll run at this in a stream of conscious sort of way.īut before I start, I'll say this. There's a lot to cover, but trying to make it one cohesive essay proved challenging. When trying to outline what to write about today it felt like taking all the stories on the front page of a newspaper and turning it into one story. It's Chess and The Market Has the Next Move